Thursday, May 8, 2008

Lebanon: Back to Hell?

Sure looks like it.

What affect will this have on the Geopolitics of the region?

Israel will probably will side with Lebanon's government since they are confronting Hezbollah. Syria? Not to sure, they'll most likely be on Hezbollah's side. I think. They're big supporters in general, but what about Syria's other contacts in the country? The Palestinians, they'll be caught in the middle as usual. But Hamas should be relatively quiet, well somewhat, if Hezbollah is tied down.

What about Syrian-Israeli peace? I have not heard any thing else from their discussion, but would a Lebanese civil war necessarily preclude the arrival at a peace deal?

I obviously do not know enough, or have the info, to answer any of these questions. But I will find it.

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